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2026 Week 4 FINAL · Conference game

James Madison at Old Dominion

Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC

S.B. Ballard Stadium

46
James Madison
Final
20
Old Dominion
Team 1234 T
James Madison 1713610 46
Old Dominion 71003 20

GIE pre-game call: James Madison at 72%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

James Madison
Sun Belt
Record
4-0
Rating
6.2
National rank
50
Proj. wins
10.2
Playoff prob.
67%
Old Dominion
Sun Belt
Record
1-3
Rating
-7.0
National rank
97
Proj. wins
4.3
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

James Madison
72%
Old Dominion
28%
Old Dominion 90% CI: 21% – 37% Δ rating 13.2

James Madison is the model's favorite at 72%. Old Dominion has a 28% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.8 rating points baked in for Old Dominion — venue-specific night-game value (n=47 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
Venue
S.B. Ballard Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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