2026 Week 4 · Conference game
James Madison at Old Dominion
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
S.B. Ballard Stadium
James Madison
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 12.3
- National rank
- 27
- Proj. wins
- 1.8
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Old Dominion
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.9
- National rank
- 49
- Proj. wins
- 2.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
James Madison
58%
Old Dominion
42%
Old Dominion 90% CI: 33% – 51% Δ rating 6.4
James Madison is the model's favorite at 58%. Old Dominion has a 42% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Old Dominion — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
James Madison offense
29 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Old Dominion offense
25 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- S.B. Ballard Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No