2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Georgia State at Marshall
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Georgia State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 3-1
- Rating
- -19.6
- National rank
- 128
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Marshall
Sun Belt
- Record
- 3-1
- Rating
- -11.0
- National rank
- 110
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Georgia State
25%
Marshall
75%
Marshall 90% CI: 67% – 81% Δ rating 8.6
Marshall is the model's favorite at 75%. Georgia State has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.0 rating points baked in for Marshall — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Georgia State offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Marshall offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Joan C. Edwards Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No