4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2026 Week 7 · Conference game

Georgia State at James Madison

Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

Bridgeforth Stadium

Georgia State
Sun Belt
Record
0-0
Rating
-24.5
National rank
133
Proj. wins
0.8
Playoff prob.
0%
James Madison
Sun Belt
Record
0-0
Rating
12.3
National rank
27
Proj. wins
1.8
Playoff prob.
1%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Georgia State
1%
James Madison
99%
James Madison 90% CI: 99% – 100% Δ rating 36.8

James Madison is the model's favorite at 99%. Georgia State has a 1% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.3 rating points baked in for James Madison — venue-specific learned value (n=21 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Georgia State offense
32 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

James Madison offense
42 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
Bridgeforth Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

← Home