2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Old Dominion at Georgia State
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Center Parc Stadium
Old Dominion
Sun Belt
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -7.0
- National rank
- 97
- Proj. wins
- 4.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Georgia State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 3-1
- Rating
- -19.6
- National rank
- 128
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Old Dominion
80%
Georgia State
20%
Georgia State 90% CI: 14% – 26% Δ rating 12.6
Old Dominion is the model's favorite at 80%. Georgia State has a 20% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for Georgia State — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Old Dominion offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Georgia State offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Rain
Temperature
60°F
Precipitation
52%
Wind
16 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Center Parc Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No