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2026 Week 2

Georgia State at Kennesaw State

Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

Fifth Third Stadium

Georgia State
Sun Belt
Record
0-0
Rating
-24.5
National rank
133
Proj. wins
0.8
Playoff prob.
0%
Kennesaw State
Conference USA
Record
0-0
Rating
-5.4
National rank
89
Proj. wins
0.6
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Georgia State
4%
Kennesaw State
96%
Kennesaw State 90% CI: 94% – 97% Δ rating 19.1

Kennesaw State is the model's favorite at 96%. Georgia State has a 4% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.6 rating points baked in for Kennesaw State — venue-specific learned value (n=10 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Georgia State offense
38 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Kennesaw State offense
43 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
Fifth Third Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No

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