2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Georgia Southern at Georgia State
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Center Parc Stadium
Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -7.7
- National rank
- 102
- Proj. wins
- 3.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Georgia State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 3-1
- Rating
- -19.6
- National rank
- 128
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Georgia Southern
79%
Georgia State
21%
Georgia State 90% CI: 15% – 28% Δ rating 11.9
Georgia Southern is the model's favorite at 79%. Georgia State has a 21% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for Georgia State — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Georgia Southern offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Georgia State offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Center Parc Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No