2026 Week 6 · Conference game
James Madison at Georgia Southern
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Allen E. Paulson Stadium
James Madison
Sun Belt
- Record
- 4-0
- Rating
- 6.2
- National rank
- 50
- Proj. wins
- 10.2
- Playoff prob.
- 67%
Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -7.7
- National rank
- 102
- Proj. wins
- 3.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
James Madison
74%
Georgia Southern
26%
Georgia Southern 90% CI: 19% – 34% Δ rating 13.9
James Madison is the model's favorite at 74%. Georgia Southern has a 26% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.5 rating points baked in for Georgia Southern — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
James Madison offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Georgia Southern offense
28 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
56°F
Precipitation
9%
Wind
15 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Allen E. Paulson Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No