4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2026 Week 6 · Conference game

James Madison at Georgia Southern

Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

Allen E. Paulson Stadium

James Madison
Sun Belt
Record
0-0
Rating
12.3
National rank
27
Proj. wins
1.8
Playoff prob.
1%
Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
Record
0-0
Rating
-9.4
National rank
103
Proj. wins
0.9
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

James Madison
88%
Georgia Southern
12%
Georgia Southern 90% CI: 8% – 16% Δ rating 21.7

James Madison is the model's favorite at 88%. Georgia Southern has a 12% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.5 rating points baked in for Georgia Southern — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

James Madison offense
43 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Georgia Southern offense
28 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

← Home