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2026 Week 3

Georgia Southern at Jacksonville State

Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

AmFirst Stadium

Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
Record
0-0
Rating
-9.4
National rank
103
Proj. wins
0.9
Playoff prob.
0%
Jacksonville State
Conference USA
Record
0-0
Rating
-6.7
National rank
92
Proj. wins
1.1
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Georgia Southern
29%
Jacksonville State
71%
Jacksonville State 90% CI: 63% – 78% Δ rating 2.7

Jacksonville State is the model's favorite at 71%. Georgia Southern has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.4 rating points baked in for Jacksonville State — venue-specific learned value (n=17 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Georgia Southern offense
39 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Jacksonville State offense
43 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
AmFirst Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No

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