2026 Week 11 · Conference game
App State at Marshall
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Joan C. Edwards Stadium
App State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 3-1
- Rating
- -6.3
- National rank
- 94
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Marshall
Sun Belt
- Record
- 3-1
- Rating
- -11.0
- National rank
- 110
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
App State
64%
Marshall
36%
Marshall 90% CI: 28% – 45% Δ rating 4.7
App State is the model's favorite at 64%. Marshall has a 36% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.0 rating points baked in for Marshall — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
App State offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Marshall offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Joan C. Edwards Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No