2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Georgia State at App State
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Kidd Brewer Stadium
Georgia State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 3-1
- Rating
- -19.6
- National rank
- 128
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
App State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 3-1
- Rating
- -6.3
- National rank
- 94
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Georgia State
13%
App State
87%
App State 90% CI: 82% – 91% Δ rating 13.3
App State is the model's favorite at 87%. Georgia State has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for App State — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Georgia State offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
App State offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Kidd Brewer Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No