2026 Week 8 · Conference game
James Madison at App State
Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Kidd Brewer Stadium
James Madison
Sun Belt
- Record
- 4-0
- Rating
- 6.2
- National rank
- 50
- Proj. wins
- 10.2
- Playoff prob.
- 67%
App State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 3-1
- Rating
- -6.3
- National rank
- 94
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
James Madison
79%
App State
21%
App State 90% CI: 15% – 28% Δ rating 12.5
James Madison is the model's favorite at 79%. App State has a 21% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for App State — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
James Madison offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
App State offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Kidd Brewer Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No