2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Old Dominion at App State
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Kidd Brewer Stadium
Old Dominion
Sun Belt
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -7.0
- National rank
- 97
- Proj. wins
- 4.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
App State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 3-1
- Rating
- -6.3
- National rank
- 94
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Old Dominion
42%
App State
58%
App State 90% CI: 48% – 67% Δ rating 0.7
App State is the model's favorite at 58%. Old Dominion has a 42% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for App State — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Old Dominion offense
35 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
App State offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
36°F
Precipitation
11%
Wind
3 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Kidd Brewer Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No