2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Old Dominion at App State
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Kidd Brewer Stadium
Old Dominion
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.9
- National rank
- 49
- Proj. wins
- 2.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
App State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.4
- National rank
- 111
- Proj. wins
- 1.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Old Dominion
87%
App State
13%
App State 90% CI: 9% – 17% Δ rating 17.3
Old Dominion is the model's favorite at 87%. App State has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for App State — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Old Dominion offense
35 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
App State offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Kidd Brewer Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No