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2026 Week 13 · Conference game

Massachusetts at Bowling Green

Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC

Doyt L. Perry Stadium

Massachusetts
Mid-American
Record
3-0
Rating
-19.9
National rank
131
Proj. wins
9.0
Playoff prob.
3%
Bowling Green
Mid-American
Record
0-3
Rating
-22.0
National rank
134
Proj. wins
3.0
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Massachusetts
64%
Bowling Green
36%
Bowling Green 90% CI: 28% – 45% Δ rating 2.1

Massachusetts is the model's favorite at 64%. Bowling Green has a 36% path. Home-field adjustment of +-2.5 rating points baked in for Bowling Green — venue-specific learned value (n=45 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Massachusetts offense
37 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Bowling Green offense
42 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC
Venue
Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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