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2026 Week 12 · Conference game

Bowling Green at Toledo

Tuesday, November 17, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST

Glass Bowl

Bowling Green
Mid-American
Record
0-0
Rating
-12.6
National rank
113
Proj. wins
4.4
Playoff prob.
0%
Toledo
Mid-American
Record
0-0
Rating
6.0
National rank
48
Proj. wins
8.7
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Bowling Green
8%
Toledo
92%
Toledo 90% CI: 89% – 95% Δ rating 18.6

Toledo is the model's favorite at 92%. Bowling Green has a 8% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.5 rating points baked in for Toledo — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Bowling Green offense
23 / 100

Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup

Toledo offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Tuesday, November 17, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Venue
Glass Bowl
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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