2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Massachusetts at Toledo
Tuesday, November 10, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Glass Bowl
Massachusetts
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -36.6
- National rank
- 136
- Proj. wins
- 1.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Toledo
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 6.0
- National rank
- 48
- Proj. wins
- 8.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Massachusetts
0%
Toledo
100%
Toledo 90% CI: 99% – 100% Δ rating 42.6
Toledo is the model's favorite at 100%. Massachusetts has a 0% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.5 rating points baked in for Toledo — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Massachusetts offense
27 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Toledo offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Tuesday, November 10, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Glass Bowl
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No