2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Bowling Green at Western Michigan
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
Waldo Stadium
Bowling Green
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-3
- Rating
- -22.0
- National rank
- 134
- Proj. wins
- 3.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Western Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -2.6
- National rank
- 80
- Proj. wins
- 7.9
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Bowling Green
6%
Western Michigan
94%
Western Michigan 90% CI: 92% – 96% Δ rating 19.4
Western Michigan is the model's favorite at 94%. Bowling Green has a 6% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Western Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Bowling Green offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Western Michigan offense
32 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Waldo Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No