2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Sacramento State at Ball State
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Scheumann Stadium
Sacramento State
Mid-American
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -20.9
- National rank
- 133
- Proj. wins
- 4.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Ball State
Mid-American
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -24.3
- National rank
- 136
- Proj. wins
- 4.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Sacramento State
52%
Ball State
48%
Ball State 90% CI: 39% – 57% Δ rating 3.4
Sacramento State is the model's favorite at 52%. Ball State has a 48% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.8 rating points baked in for Ball State — venue-specific learned value (n=44 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Sacramento State offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Ball State offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Scheumann Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No