2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Ohio at Sacramento State
Friday, October 16, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Hornet Stadium
Ohio
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -4.0
- National rank
- 84
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Sacramento State
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- —
- National rank
- —
- Proj. wins
- 8.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Ohio
50%
Sacramento State
50%
Sacramento State 90% CI: 50% – 50% Δ rating 4.0
Sacramento State is the model's favorite at 50%. Ohio has a 50% path. League-prior home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Sacramento State.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Ohio offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Sacramento State offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 16, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Hornet Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No