2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Toledo at Eastern Michigan
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Rynearson Stadium
Toledo
Mid-American
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -5.4
- National rank
- 87
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -18.9
- National rank
- 125
- Proj. wins
- 3.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Toledo
85%
Eastern Michigan
15%
Eastern Michigan 90% CI: 11% – 20% Δ rating 13.5
Toledo is the model's favorite at 85%. Eastern Michigan has a 15% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.4 rating points baked in for Eastern Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Toledo offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Eastern Michigan offense
27 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Rynearson Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No