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Conference game

Toledo at Eastern Michigan

Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT

Final score

Final score by period
Team 1234 T
Toledo Winner 102130 34
Eastern Michigan 0770 14

GIE pre-game call: Toledo at 92%. Hit

Pre-game

GIE win probability

Toledo 92% Favorite
Eastern Michigan 8% Underdog
Toledo 90% CI
89–95%
Δ rating
Toledo +19.6

Toledo is the model's favorite at 92%. Eastern Michigan has a 8% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.5 rating points baked in for Eastern Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=45 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Recaps