2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Massachusetts at Buffalo
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
UB Stadium
Massachusetts
Mid-American
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- -19.9
- National rank
- 131
- Proj. wins
- 9.0
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
Buffalo
Mid-American
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -16.1
- National rank
- 120
- Proj. wins
- 4.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Massachusetts
27%
Buffalo
73%
Buffalo 90% CI: 65% – 80% Δ rating 3.8
Buffalo is the model's favorite at 73%. Massachusetts has a 27% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.2 rating points baked in for Buffalo — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Massachusetts offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Buffalo offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- UB Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No