2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Massachusetts at Buffalo
Friday, October 16, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
UB Stadium
Massachusetts
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -36.6
- National rank
- 136
- Proj. wins
- 1.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Buffalo
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -7.5
- National rank
- 95
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Massachusetts
2%
Buffalo
98%
Buffalo 90% CI: 98% – 99% Δ rating 29.1
Buffalo is the model's favorite at 98%. Massachusetts has a 2% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.2 rating points baked in for Buffalo — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Massachusetts offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Buffalo offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 16, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- UB Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No