2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Ball State at Bowling Green
Friday, October 16, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Ball State
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -23.0
- National rank
- 132
- Proj. wins
- 2.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Bowling Green
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -12.6
- National rank
- 113
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Ball State
27%
Bowling Green
73%
Bowling Green 90% CI: 65% – 80% Δ rating 10.4
Bowling Green is the model's favorite at 73%. Ball State has a 27% path. Home-field adjustment of +-2.5 rating points baked in for Bowling Green — venue-specific learned value (n=45 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Ball State offense
34 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Bowling Green offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 16, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Doyt L. Perry Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No