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2026 Week 6 · Conference game

Miami (OH) at Massachusetts

Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

Miami (OH)
Mid-American
Record
0-0
Rating
-3.4
National rank
82
Proj. wins
6.7
Playoff prob.
0%
Massachusetts
Mid-American
Record
0-0
Rating
-36.6
National rank
136
Proj. wins
1.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Miami (OH)
98%
Massachusetts
2%
Massachusetts 90% CI: 1% – 3% Δ rating 33.2

Miami (OH) is the model's favorite at 98%. Massachusetts has a 2% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for Massachusetts — venue-specific learned value (n=38 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Miami (OH) offense
43 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Massachusetts offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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