2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Miami (OH) at Massachusetts
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -6.0
- National rank
- 92
- Proj. wins
- 5.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Massachusetts
Mid-American
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- -19.9
- National rank
- 131
- Proj. wins
- 9.0
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Miami (OH)
82%
Massachusetts
18%
Massachusetts 90% CI: 13% – 24% Δ rating 13.9
Miami (OH) is the model's favorite at 82%. Massachusetts has a 18% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for Massachusetts — venue-specific learned value (n=38 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Miami (OH) offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Massachusetts offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Mainly clear
Temperature
36°F
Precipitation
16%
Wind
2 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No