2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Kent State at Western Michigan
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Waldo Stadium
Kent State
Mid-American
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -24.8
- National rank
- 137
- Proj. wins
- 5.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Western Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -2.6
- National rank
- 80
- Proj. wins
- 7.9
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Kent State
4%
Western Michigan
96%
Western Michigan 90% CI: 94% – 97% Δ rating 22.2
Western Michigan is the model's favorite at 96%. Kent State has a 4% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Western Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Kent State offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Western Michigan offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Partly cloudy
Temperature
39°F
Precipitation
3%
Wind
4 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Waldo Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No