2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -18.9
- National rank
- 125
- Proj. wins
- 3.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Massachusetts
Mid-American
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- -19.9
- National rank
- 131
- Proj. wins
- 9.0
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Eastern Michigan
47%
Massachusetts
53%
Massachusetts 90% CI: 43% – 62% Δ rating 1.0
Massachusetts is the model's favorite at 53%. Eastern Michigan has a 47% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for Massachusetts — venue-specific learned value (n=38 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Eastern Michigan offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Massachusetts offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Light drizzle
Temperature
70°F
Precipitation
19%
Wind
2 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No