2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts
Friday, October 2, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -14.7
- National rank
- 119
- Proj. wins
- 4.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Massachusetts
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -36.6
- National rank
- 136
- Proj. wins
- 1.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Eastern Michigan
92%
Massachusetts
8%
Massachusetts 90% CI: 5% – 11% Δ rating 21.9
Eastern Michigan is the model's favorite at 92%. Massachusetts has a 8% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for Massachusetts — venue-specific learned value (n=38 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Eastern Michigan offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Massachusetts offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 2, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No