2026 Week 4 · Conference game
Massachusetts at Sacramento State
Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Hornet Stadium
Massachusetts
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -36.6
- National rank
- 136
- Proj. wins
- 1.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Sacramento State
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- —
- National rank
- —
- Proj. wins
- 8.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Massachusetts
50%
Sacramento State
50%
Sacramento State 90% CI: 50% – 50% Δ rating 36.6
Sacramento State is the model's favorite at 50%. Massachusetts has a 50% path. League-prior home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Sacramento State.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Massachusetts offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Sacramento State offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Hornet Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No