Conference game
Sacramento State at Eastern Michigan
Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 6:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sacramento State | 0 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 17 |
 Eastern Michigan Winner | 0 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 28 |
GIE pre-game call: Eastern Michigan at 76%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Sacramento State 24% Underdog
Eastern Michigan 76% Favorite
Eastern Michigan is the model's favorite at 76%. Sacramento State has a 24% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.0 rating points baked in for Eastern Michigan — venue-specific night-game value (n=45 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- Sacramento State recap Sacramento State: 2026 Week 12 recap Sacramento State sits at 2–8 after a three-point home loss to Toledo in Week 10, a result that nudged the Hornets up 4.2 rating points to −24.9 according to GIE. That modest gain reflects a team scrapping for relevance in a brutal MAC…
- Eastern Michigan recap Eastern Michigan: 2026 Week 12 recap Eastern Michigan sits at 4–6 and ranked 128th overall, having dropped 2.3 rating points after a 35–7 home loss to Central Michigan in Week 10. The Eagles' offensive struggles are the core issue: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 15% and…