2026 Week 1 · Conference game
Sacramento State at Eastern Michigan
Friday, August 28, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Rynearson Stadium
Sacramento State
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- —
- National rank
- —
- Proj. wins
- 8.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -14.7
- National rank
- 119
- Proj. wins
- 4.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Sacramento State
50%
Eastern Michigan
50%
Eastern Michigan 90% CI: 50% – 50% Δ rating 14.7
Eastern Michigan is the model's favorite at 50%. Sacramento State has a 50% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.4 rating points baked in for Eastern Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Sacramento State offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Eastern Michigan offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, August 28, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Rynearson Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No