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2026 Week 1 FINAL · Conference game

Sacramento State at Eastern Michigan

Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 10:30 PM UTC

Rynearson Stadium

17
Sacramento State
Final
28
Eastern Michigan
Team 1234 T
Sacramento State 01007 17
Eastern Michigan 02107 28

GIE pre-game call: Eastern Michigan at 55%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Sacramento State
Mid-American
Record
1-3
Rating
-20.9
National rank
133
Proj. wins
4.8
Playoff prob.
0%
Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
Record
1-3
Rating
-18.9
National rank
125
Proj. wins
3.7
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Sacramento State
45%
Eastern Michigan
55%
Eastern Michigan 90% CI: 45% – 64% Δ rating 2.0

Eastern Michigan is the model's favorite at 55%. Sacramento State has a 45% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.4 rating points baked in for Eastern Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 10:30 PM UTC
Venue
Rynearson Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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