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New Mexico State at Hawai'i

Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:59 PM EDT

Final score

Final score by period
Team 1234 T
New Mexico State 01360 19
Hawai'i Winner 91037 29

GIE pre-game call: Hawai'i at 77%. Hit

Pre-game

GIE win probability

New Mexico State 23% Underdog
Hawai'i 77% Favorite
Hawai'i 90% CI
70–83%
Δ rating
Hawai'i +5.8

Hawai'i is the model's favorite at 77%. New Mexico State has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.0 rating points baked in for Hawai'i — venue-specific learned value (n=30 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.