2026 Week 2
New Mexico State at Hawai'i
Friday, September 11, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
New Mexico State
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -15.5
- National rank
- 123
- Proj. wins
- 0.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Hawai'i
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.7
- National rank
- 68
- Proj. wins
- 8.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
New Mexico State
6%
Hawai'i
94%
Hawai'i 90% CI: 91% – 96% Δ rating 17.2
Hawai'i is the model's favorite at 94%. New Mexico State has a 6% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.3 rating points baked in for Hawai'i — venue-specific learned value (n=26 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
New Mexico State offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Hawai'i offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 11, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No