2026 Week 4
App State at NC State
Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Carter-Finley Stadium
App State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.4
- National rank
- 111
- Proj. wins
- 1.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
NC State
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 4.8
- National rank
- 55
- Proj. wins
- 7.0
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
App State
8%
NC State
92%
NC State 90% CI: 89% – 95% Δ rating 16.2
NC State is the model's favorite at 92%. App State has a 8% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for NC State — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
App State offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
NC State offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Carter-Finley Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No