2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Hawai'i at Nevada
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Mackay Stadium
Hawai'i
Mountain West
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -7.1
- National rank
- 98
- Proj. wins
- 5.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Nevada
Mountain West
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -9.6
- National rank
- 108
- Proj. wins
- 4.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Hawai'i
43%
Nevada
57%
Nevada 90% CI: 48% – 66% Δ rating 2.5
Nevada is the model's favorite at 57%. Hawai'i has a 43% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.8 rating points baked in for Nevada — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Hawai'i offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Nevada offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Mackay Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No