2026 Week 11 · Conference game
North Dakota State at Hawai'i
Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
North Dakota State
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- —
- National rank
- —
- Proj. wins
- 7.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Hawai'i
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.7
- National rank
- 68
- Proj. wins
- 8.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
North Dakota State
50%
Hawai'i
50%
Hawai'i 90% CI: 50% – 50% Δ rating 1.7
Hawai'i is the model's favorite at 50%. North Dakota State has a 50% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.3 rating points baked in for Hawai'i — venue-specific learned value (n=26 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
North Dakota State offense
35 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Hawai'i offense
29 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No