2026 Week 9 · Conference game
UTEP at North Dakota State
Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Fargodome
UTEP
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -17.5
- National rank
- 129
- Proj. wins
- 3.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
North Dakota State
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- —
- National rank
- —
- Proj. wins
- 7.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UTEP
50%
North Dakota State
50%
North Dakota State 90% CI: 50% – 50% Δ rating 17.5
North Dakota State is the model's favorite at 50%. UTEP has a 50% path. League-prior home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for North Dakota State.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UTEP offense
27 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
North Dakota State offense
33 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Fargodome
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No