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Conference game

New Mexico at Hawai'i

Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 10:30 PM EDT

Final score

Final score by period
Team 1234 T
New Mexico Winner 00714 21
Hawai'i 3700 10

GIE pre-game call: New Mexico at 93%. Hit

Pre-game

GIE win probability

New Mexico 93% Favorite
Hawai'i 7% Underdog
New Mexico 90% CI
90–95%
Δ rating
New Mexico +24.7

New Mexico is the model's favorite at 93%. Hawai'i has a 7% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.0 rating points baked in for Hawai'i — venue-specific learned value (n=30 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Recaps