2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Nevada at UTEP
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Sun Bowl
Nevada
Mountain West
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -9.6
- National rank
- 108
- Proj. wins
- 4.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
UTEP
Mountain West
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -19.7
- National rank
- 129
- Proj. wins
- 5.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Nevada
75%
UTEP
25%
UTEP 90% CI: 19% – 33% Δ rating 10.1
Nevada is the model's favorite at 75%. UTEP has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for UTEP — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Nevada offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UTEP offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
72°F
Precipitation
4%
Wind
5 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Sun Bowl
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No