2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Nevada at UTEP
Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Sun Bowl
Nevada
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -13.4
- National rank
- 116
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
UTEP
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -17.5
- National rank
- 129
- Proj. wins
- 3.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Nevada
59%
UTEP
41%
UTEP 90% CI: 33% – 51% Δ rating 4.1
Nevada is the model's favorite at 59%. UTEP has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for UTEP — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Nevada offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UTEP offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Sun Bowl
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No