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2026 Week 4 · Conference game

Hawai'i at Wyoming

Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

War Memorial Stadium

Hawai'i
Mountain West
Record
0-0
Rating
1.7
National rank
68
Proj. wins
8.0
Playoff prob.
0%
Wyoming
Mountain West
Record
0-0
Rating
-11.3
National rank
110
Proj. wins
4.8
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Hawai'i
71%
Wyoming
29%
Wyoming 90% CI: 22% – 37% Δ rating 13.0

Hawai'i is the model's favorite at 71%. Wyoming has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.7 rating points baked in for Wyoming — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Hawai'i offense
34 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Wyoming offense
38 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
War Memorial Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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