2026 Week 4 · Conference game
Hawai'i at Wyoming
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC
War Memorial Stadium
Hawai'i
Mountain West
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -7.1
- National rank
- 98
- Proj. wins
- 5.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Wyoming
Mountain West
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -15.0
- National rank
- 118
- Proj. wins
- 4.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Hawai'i
57%
Wyoming
43%
Wyoming 90% CI: 34% – 53% Δ rating 7.9
Hawai'i is the model's favorite at 57%. Wyoming has a 43% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.7 rating points baked in for Wyoming — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Hawai'i offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Wyoming offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
63°F
Precipitation
1%
Wind
7 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- War Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No