2026 Week 2 FINAL · Conference game
North Dakota State at Air Force
Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 2:00 AM UTC
Falcon Stadium
38
North Dakota State
Final
32
Air Force
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State | 7 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 38 |
| Air Force | 0 | 13 | 0 | 19 | 32 |
GIE pre-game call: North Dakota State at 80%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
North Dakota State
Mountain West
- Record
- 4-0
- Rating
- 10.6
- National rank
- 35
- Proj. wins
- 10.2
- Playoff prob.
- 58%
Air Force
Mountain West
- Record
- 1-1
- Rating
- -2.8
- National rank
- 81
- Proj. wins
- 6.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
North Dakota State
80%
Air Force
20%
Air Force 90% CI: 15% – 27% Δ rating 13.4
North Dakota State is the model's favorite at 80%. Air Force has a 20% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Air Force — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 2:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Falcon Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No