2026 Week 3 FINAL
Nevada at Middle Tennessee
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 20 |
| Middle Tennessee | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 27 |
GIE pre-game call: Nevada at 73%. Miss.
Recaps
- Nevada recap
Nevada: 2026 Week 3 recap
Nevada sits at 108th in GIE's ratings after a dominant 49–14 win over Western Kentucky in Week 1, but the rating hasn't budged since—a sign the model views that result as baseline rather than transformative. The Wolf Pack's red-zone…
- Middle Tennessee recap
Middle Tennessee: 2026 Week 3 recap
Middle Tennessee sits at 1–0 after a dominant 38–14 win over Murray State in Week 1, though GIE's rating hasn't budged—the model sees the victory as expected rather than transformative. The Blue Raiders rank 135th nationally at –26.5, a…
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -9.6
- National rank
- 108
- Proj. wins
- 4.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -18.9
- National rank
- 125
- Proj. wins
- 7.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Nevada is the model's favorite at 73%. Middle Tennessee has a 27% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.2 rating points baked in for Middle Tennessee — venue-specific night-game value (n=46 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No