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2026 Week 1 FINAL

Western Kentucky at Nevada

Sunday, September 6, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC

Mackay Stadium

14
Western Kentucky
Final
49
Nevada
Team 1234 T
Western Kentucky 0707 14
Nevada 1471414 49

GIE pre-game call: Nevada at 81%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Western Kentucky
Conference USA
Record
0-3
Rating
-16.5
National rank
122
Proj. wins
3.4
Playoff prob.
0%
Nevada
Mountain West
Record
1-2
Rating
-9.6
National rank
108
Proj. wins
4.8
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Western Kentucky
19%
Nevada
81%
Nevada 90% CI: 75% – 86% Δ rating 6.9

Nevada is the model's favorite at 81%. Western Kentucky has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.8 rating points baked in for Nevada — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Sunday, September 6, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC
Venue
Mackay Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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