2026 Week 13 · Conference game
Tulsa at UTSA
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Alamodome
Tulsa
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.0
- National rank
- 104
- Proj. wins
- 5.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
UTSA
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 3.7
- National rank
- 62
- Proj. wins
- 6.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Tulsa
9%
UTSA
91%
UTSA 90% CI: 87% – 93% Δ rating 13.7
UTSA is the model's favorite at 91%. Tulsa has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.4 rating points baked in for UTSA — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Tulsa offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UTSA offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 27, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Alamodome
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No