Conference game
UTSA at UAB
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
UTSA 64% Favorite
UAB 36% Underdog
UTSA is the model's favorite at 64%. UAB has a 36% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.5 rating points baked in for UAB — venue-specific learned value (n=26 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UTSA offense
Higher fit 48 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
UAB offense
39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup