2026 Week 12 · Conference game
South Florida at Florida Atlantic
Friday, November 20, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
FAU Stadium
South Florida
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 11.6
- National rank
- 29
- Proj. wins
- 8.9
- Playoff prob.
- 11%
Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -8.7
- National rank
- 98
- Proj. wins
- 4.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
South Florida
90%
Florida Atlantic
10%
Florida Atlantic 90% CI: 7% – 14% Δ rating 20.3
South Florida is the model's favorite at 90%. Florida Atlantic has a 10% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Florida Atlantic — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
South Florida offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Florida Atlantic offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 20, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- FAU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No