2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Tulane at Rice
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Rice Stadium
Tulane
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -5.6
- National rank
- 88
- Proj. wins
- 5.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Rice
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -14.9
- National rank
- 116
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Tulane
65%
Rice
35%
Rice 90% CI: 27% – 44% Δ rating 9.3
Tulane is the model's favorite at 65%. Rice has a 35% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.3 rating points baked in for Rice — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Tulane offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Rice offense
30 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Rice Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No