2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Tulane at Rice
Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Rice Stadium
Tulane
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 6.3
- National rank
- 45
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Rice
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -14.8
- National rank
- 120
- Proj. wins
- 2.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Tulane
89%
Rice
11%
Rice 90% CI: 8% – 15% Δ rating 21.1
Tulane is the model's favorite at 89%. Rice has a 11% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.3 rating points baked in for Rice — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Tulane offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Rice offense
30 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Rice Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No