2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Florida Atlantic at Tulsa
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Chapman Stadium
Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -7.4
- National rank
- 100
- Proj. wins
- 6.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Tulsa
American Athletic
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- -1.2
- National rank
- 72
- Proj. wins
- 8.8
- Playoff prob.
- 5%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Florida Atlantic
33%
Tulsa
67%
Tulsa 90% CI: 58% – 75% Δ rating 6.2
Tulsa is the model's favorite at 67%. Florida Atlantic has a 33% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.5 rating points baked in for Tulsa — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Florida Atlantic offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Tulsa offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Chapman Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No