2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Florida Atlantic at Tulsa
Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Chapman Stadium
Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -8.7
- National rank
- 98
- Proj. wins
- 4.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Tulsa
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.0
- National rank
- 104
- Proj. wins
- 5.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Florida Atlantic
56%
Tulsa
44%
Tulsa 90% CI: 35% – 54% Δ rating 1.3
Florida Atlantic is the model's favorite at 56%. Tulsa has a 44% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.5 rating points baked in for Tulsa — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Florida Atlantic offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Tulsa offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Chapman Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No