2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Rice at North Texas
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
DATCU Stadium
Rice
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -14.9
- National rank
- 116
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
North Texas
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -9.2
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 5.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Rice
29%
North Texas
71%
North Texas 90% CI: 63% – 78% Δ rating 5.7
North Texas is the model's favorite at 71%. Rice has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.7 rating points baked in for North Texas — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Rice offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
North Texas offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- DATCU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No