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2026 Week 8 · Conference game

UTSA at Tulane

Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

Yulman Stadium

UTSA
American Athletic
Record
2-1
Rating
-1.4
National rank
74
Proj. wins
7.1
Playoff prob.
0%
Tulane
American Athletic
Record
1-2
Rating
-5.6
National rank
88
Proj. wins
5.2
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

UTSA
47%
Tulane
53%
Tulane 90% CI: 44% – 62% Δ rating 4.2

Tulane is the model's favorite at 53%. UTSA has a 47% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.3 rating points baked in for Tulane — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

UTSA offense
38 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Tulane offense
38 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
Yulman Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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