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2026 Week 8 · Conference game

Rice at Florida Atlantic

Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

FAU Stadium

Rice
American Athletic
Record
1-2
Rating
-14.9
National rank
116
Proj. wins
4.4
Playoff prob.
0%
Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
Record
2-1
Rating
-7.4
National rank
100
Proj. wins
6.6
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Rice
22%
Florida Atlantic
78%
Florida Atlantic 90% CI: 71% – 84% Δ rating 7.5

Florida Atlantic is the model's favorite at 78%. Rice has a 22% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Florida Atlantic — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Rice offense
41 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Florida Atlantic offense
45 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
FAU Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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