2026 Week 7
Kent State at South Florida
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Raymond James Stadium
Kent State
Mid-American
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -24.8
- National rank
- 137
- Proj. wins
- 5.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
South Florida
American Athletic
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 1.9
- National rank
- 66
- Proj. wins
- 9.5
- Playoff prob.
- 31%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Kent State
3%
South Florida
97%
South Florida 90% CI: 96% – 98% Δ rating 26.7
South Florida is the model's favorite at 97%. Kent State has a 3% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.7 rating points baked in for South Florida — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Kent State offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
South Florida offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Raymond James Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No