2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Tulsa at Rice
Friday, October 16, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Rice Stadium
Tulsa
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.0
- National rank
- 104
- Proj. wins
- 5.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Rice
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -14.8
- National rank
- 120
- Proj. wins
- 2.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Tulsa
52%
Rice
48%
Rice 90% CI: 39% – 58% Δ rating 4.8
Tulsa is the model's favorite at 52%. Rice has a 48% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.3 rating points baked in for Rice — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Tulsa offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Rice offense
30 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 16, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Rice Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No