South Florida at Bowling Green
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 5:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 South Florida Winner | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 |
 Bowling Green | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
GIE pre-game call: South Florida at 96%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
South Florida 96% Favorite
Bowling Green 4% Underdog
South Florida is the model's favorite at 96%. Bowling Green has a 4% path. Home-field adjustment of +-1.7 rating points baked in for Bowling Green — venue-specific learned value (n=43 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.