2026 Week 4
Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe
Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Malone Stadium
Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -7.4
- National rank
- 100
- Proj. wins
- 6.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
UL Monroe
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-3
- Rating
- -28.0
- National rank
- 138
- Proj. wins
- 2.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Florida Atlantic
87%
UL Monroe
13%
UL Monroe 90% CI: 10% – 18% Δ rating 20.6
Florida Atlantic is the model's favorite at 87%. UL Monroe has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.6 rating points baked in for UL Monroe — venue-specific learned value (n=45 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Florida Atlantic offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UL Monroe offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Mainly clear
Temperature
75°F
Precipitation
0%
Wind
4 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Malone Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No